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Old 09-23-2017, 06:41 PM   #144
TwoSwords
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 285
TwoSwords knows EXACTLY what's going onTwoSwords knows EXACTLY what's going onTwoSwords knows EXACTLY what's going onTwoSwords knows EXACTLY what's going onTwoSwords knows EXACTLY what's going onTwoSwords knows EXACTLY what's going on
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fat hiker View Post
"...the cardinal sin of modern science (and to a larger degree, the media that reports on it); claiming things can be proved "true," through observing correlations without larger context."

So true
. Correlation is NOT causation.

Just because the red trucks arrive at your house minutes before the flames start spouting through your roof, does not mean the trucks caused the fire!
I love that comparison. In this example, the causation is, at best, indirect, and in the opposite direction, and the same can be true in the case of most correlations. This is why the claim that obesity causes poor health is on such shaky ground. It could be like your fire truck example, and obesity could be just another symptom of poor health, or it could be only one of many consequences arising from some other factor. For instance, it could well be that obesity is merely a common symptom of over-consumption of refined sugar and lack of exercise. Excessive stress and lack of sleep, of course, worsen any condition too. We know these things are bad for our health, and blaming obesity for conditions that also have these factors in common is like saying that people with hair loss are more likely to catch radiation poisoning.
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